Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CS Maritimo v Académico de Viseu

Início: 2026-08-22 14:30 UTC

Final: CS Maritimo 2–2 Académico de Viseu

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

CS Maritimo (Local)

Previsão 46.51%2.15odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.53%46.53%46.51%48.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.971.982.1054.05%50.68%50.51%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Académico de Viseu (Visitante)

Previsão 24.37%4.10odd justa
EV -0.825%
Vantagem -0.203%
Kelly -0.269%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.36%24.33%24.41%25.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.833.804.0728.57%26.10%26.32%24.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.12%3.43odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.727%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.06%29.14%29.08%30.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.213.203.3533.33%31.20%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: CS Maritimo (Local): 46.51%; Académico de Viseu (Visitante): 24.37%; Empate: 29.12%. Para Académico de Viseu (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.10. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.07, com valor esperado de -0.825%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -2.33%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.75%EV -0.825%E -0.203%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 14:20
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.98%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -7.89%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.72%EV -3.02%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:49
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:10
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.96%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.85%EV -3.75%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.19%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.80%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.80%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.89%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:59
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.63%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 14:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:09
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.14%E -2.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -6.92%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.88%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:10
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -3.75%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -13.50%E -3.80%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 04:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.41%EV -9.11%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.72%E -3.13%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 14:25
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:10
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:10
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -9.77%E -5.04%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.53%E -0.633%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -2.44%E -0.727%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -12.56%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -12.56%E -6.68%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 14:10
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.81%E -2.13%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -13.49%E -7.25%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -13.49%E -7.25%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -13.96%E -7.54%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-08-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%1.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.24%1.7%2026-08-22 14:20