Oddsskolan

CF Estrela v Sporting Lisbon

Matchstart: 2026-04-11 19:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

CF Estrela (Hemma)

Prognos 8.77%11.40rättvist odds
EV +13.99%
Fördel +1.08%
Kelly +1.17%
Tillväxt +0.163%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.11%8.83%8.68%11.37%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
8.2011.1911.0013.0012.20%8.94%9.09%7.69%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Sporting Lisbon (Borta)

Prognos 76.68%1.30rättvist odds
EV -2.61%
Fördel -2.06%
Kelly -9.67%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.41%76.68%76.70%79.68%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.161.211.211.2786.21%82.85%82.99%78.74%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 14.55%6.87rättvist odds
EV +7.94%
Fördel +1.07%
Kelly +1.24%
Tillväxt +0.098%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.89%14.49%14.63%16.51%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.506.386.257.4218.18%15.68%16.00%13.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.99%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:20
ATG (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.99%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:20
Tipico (DE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.10%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -1.08%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:40
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%7.4%2026-04-11 19:25
SportsBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -11.05%E -9.52%K -69.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%8.2%2026-04-11 19:25
Casumo12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:20
BetRivers12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:45
Grosvenor12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:20
Bally Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:20
betPARX12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:20
TABtouch12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:54
Unibet (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:10
Unibet (NL)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:10
Unibet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.33%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 19:20
LiveScore Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.33%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Virgin Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 19:20
PMU (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 19:20
Unibet (FR)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +5.23%E +0.435%K +0.475%G +0.025%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.48%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -1.08%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:04
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +5.23%E +0.435%K +0.475%G +0.025%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%8.1%2026-04-11 18:39
LeoVegas12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV +5.23%E +0.435%K +0.475%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.05%E -9.52%K -69.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Pinnacle11.82I 8.46%NM 8.09%EV +3.65%E +0.309%K +0.337%G +0.012%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.02%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.89%EV +7.94%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.098%4.6%2026-04-11 19:20
1xBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +0.841%E +0.073%K +0.080%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.16%EV -2.61%E -2.06%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.43%EV -8.79%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 19:25
NordicBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +0.841%E +0.073%K +0.080%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:44
Betsson11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +0.841%E +0.073%K +0.080%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:44
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.91%E -3.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:24
DraftKings11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%6.0%2026-04-11 19:19
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-11 18:55
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:15
Unibet (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:24
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:25
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 12:30
Sky Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 19:25
NetBet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.88%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -19.99%E -3.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 19:25
BetUS10.75I 9.30%NM 8.71%EV -5.74%E -0.534%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.41%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -1.81%E -0.268%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:25
Betclic (FR)10.75I 9.30%NM 8.70%EV -5.74%E -0.534%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.68%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 19:04
Betr (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -7.93%E -0.755%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.11%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:25
Bet Victor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -7.93%E -0.755%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:53
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.14%E -3.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.14%E -3.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 19:25
BetMGM10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -4.14%E -3.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:20
Fanatics10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -4.91%E -3.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:24
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:20
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:20
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:20
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:20
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -19.99%E -3.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 19:25
BetOnline.ag9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -14.07%E -1.44%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -1.08%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 19:20
LowVig.ag9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -14.07%E -1.44%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -1.08%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Neds9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -16.70%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -16.70%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -16.70%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%8.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -21.08%E -2.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 19:24
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -21.08%E -2.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.57%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -1.81%E -0.268%K -0.314%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 19:05
Marathon Bet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -28.10%E -3.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -4.14%E -3.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -3.26%E -0.490%K -0.577%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.6%2026-04-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.6%2026-04-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.6%2026-04-11 19:25
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.6%2026-04-11 19:25
Kalshi14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.18%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%1.0%2026-04-11 19:10
Smarkets14.99I 6.67%NM 6.58%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%1.5%2026-04-11 19:25