Школа коэффициентов

CF Estrela v Sporting Lisbon

Начало: 2026-04-11 19:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

CF Estrela (Хозяева)

Прогноз 8.77%11.40справедливый коэффициент
EV +13.99%
Преимущество +1.08%
Kelly +1.17%
Рост +0.163%

при максимальном коэффициенте 13.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.11%8.83%8.68%11.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
8.2011.1911.0013.0012.20%8.94%9.09%7.69%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sporting Lisbon (Гости)

Прогноз 76.68%1.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.61%
Преимущество -2.06%
Kelly -9.67%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
74.41%76.68%76.70%79.68%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.161.211.211.2786.21%82.85%82.99%78.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 14.55%6.87справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.94%
Преимущество +1.07%
Kelly +1.24%
Рост +0.098%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.89%14.49%14.63%16.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.386.257.4218.18%15.68%16.00%13.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.99%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:20
ATG (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.99%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:20
Tipico (DE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.10%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -1.08%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:40
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%7.4%2026-04-11 19:25
SportsBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +13.99%E +1.08%K +1.17%G +0.163%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -11.05%E -9.52%K -69.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%8.2%2026-04-11 19:25
Casumo12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:20
BetRivers12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:45
Grosvenor12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:20
Bally Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:20
betPARX12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 19:20
TABtouch12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.64%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 18:54
Unibet (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:10
Unibet (NL)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:10
Unibet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.78%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.33%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 19:20
LiveScore Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.33%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 19:20
Virgin Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 19:20
PMU (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV +9.61%E +0.769%K +0.836%G +0.080%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 19:20
Unibet (FR)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +5.23%E +0.435%K +0.475%G +0.025%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.48%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -1.08%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:04
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +5.23%E +0.435%K +0.475%G +0.025%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%8.1%2026-04-11 18:39
LeoVegas12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV +5.23%E +0.435%K +0.475%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.05%E -9.52%K -69.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Pinnacle11.82I 8.46%NM 8.09%EV +3.65%E +0.309%K +0.337%G +0.012%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.02%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.89%EV +7.94%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.098%4.6%2026-04-11 19:20
1xBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.41%EV +0.841%E +0.073%K +0.080%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.16%EV -2.61%E -2.06%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.43%EV -8.79%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 19:25
NordicBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +0.841%E +0.073%K +0.080%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:44
Betsson11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +0.841%E +0.073%K +0.080%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:44
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -4.91%E -3.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:24
DraftKings11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%6.0%2026-04-11 19:19
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%6.7%2026-04-11 18:55
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:15
Unibet (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:24
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:25
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 12:30
Sky Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 19:25
NetBet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.88%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -11.26%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -3.54%E -0.322%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.81%EV -10.28%E -8.79%K -60.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -19.99%E -3.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 19:25
BetUS10.75I 9.30%NM 8.71%EV -5.74%E -0.534%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.41%EV -7.21%E -5.96%K -34.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -1.81%E -0.268%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:25
Betclic (FR)10.75I 9.30%NM 8.70%EV -5.74%E -0.534%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.68%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -6.90%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 19:04
Betr (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -7.93%E -0.755%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.11%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:25
Bet Victor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -7.93%E -0.755%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:53
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.14%E -3.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.14%E -3.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 19:25
BetMGM10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -4.14%E -3.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:20
Fanatics10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -4.91%E -3.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 19:24
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:20
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:20
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:20
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -12.72%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 19:20
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.31%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -19.99%E -3.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 19:25
BetOnline.ag9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -14.07%E -1.44%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -1.08%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 19:20
LowVig.ag9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -14.07%E -1.44%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.99%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.90%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -1.08%E -0.159%K -0.186%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Neds9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -16.70%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -16.70%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -4.91%E -3.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.08%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:20
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -16.70%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +1.83%E +0.261%K +0.305%G +0.006%8.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -21.08%E -2.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -6.45%E -5.28%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.44%E -0.837%K -0.990%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 19:24
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -21.08%E -2.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.57%EV -9.51%E -8.06%K -52.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -1.81%E -0.268%K -0.314%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 19:05
Marathon Bet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -28.10%E -3.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -4.14%E -3.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -3.26%E -0.490%K -0.577%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.6%2026-04-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.6%2026-04-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.6%2026-04-11 19:25
Matchbook15.50I 6.45%NM 6.41%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.84%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.6%2026-04-11 19:25
Kalshi14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.18%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%1.0%2026-04-11 19:10
Smarkets14.99I 6.67%NM 6.58%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.79%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%1.5%2026-04-11 19:25