La scuola delle quote

CF Estrela v Gil Vicente

Inizio: 2026-03-08 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CF Estrela (Casa)

Previsione 22.91%4.36quota equa
EV -0.337%
Vantaggio -0.078%
Kelly -0.101%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.68%22.92%22.87%24.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.114.104.3526.67%24.33%24.39%22.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gil Vicente (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.67%2.05quota equa
EV -1.68%
Vantaggio -0.833%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.38%48.75%48.74%50.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.901.912.0255.87%52.57%52.36%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.42%3.52quota equa
EV -0.540%
Vantaggio -0.154%
Kelly -0.216%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.61%28.33%28.39%29.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.33%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV -0.337%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -1.96%E -0.568%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 15:08
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.33%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 14:45
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:45
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:45
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:49
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:50
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:49
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:50
1xBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -1.68%E -0.833%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 15:19
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -1.68%E -0.833%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 15:04
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -1.68%E -0.833%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 15:05
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -1.68%E -0.833%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 15:04
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 14:44
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 14:45
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 10:49
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 10:49
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 10:49
Pinnacle4.23I 23.64%NM 22.83%EV -3.09%E -0.730%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.52%EV -3.14%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.65%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 15:15
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 14:44
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 15:00
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 15:14
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:45
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 14:45
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 14:44
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -11.90%E -6.58%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 10:49
GTbets4.19I 23.87%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.955%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.55%EV -5.58%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 15:04
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.58%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 14:58
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.65%EV -10.44%E -5.68%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -0.540%E -0.154%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:59
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:45
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 15:00
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%EV -10.44%E -5.68%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:15
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -12.88%E -7.19%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 14:44
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:00
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:14
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 15:35
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:25
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 14:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 15:04
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 14:45
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -11.42%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -1.96%E -0.568%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 14:39
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 15:14
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 15:04
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -8.81%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:19
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.50%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -3.63%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:00
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.50%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -3.63%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:59
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:15
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:15
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:19
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:19
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -11.79%E -3.06%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:00
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.94%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.08%E -3.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -12.39%E -6.88%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-08 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-08 15:19
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-03-08 15:25
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-03-08 15:00
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%2.3%2026-03-08 15:25