مدرسة الاحتمالات

CF Estrela v Gil Vicente

البداية: 2026-03-08 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

CF Estrela (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.91%4.36السعر العادل
EV -0.337%
الأفضلية -0.078%
Kelly -0.101%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.68%22.92%22.87%24.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.114.104.3526.67%24.33%24.39%22.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Gil Vicente (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.67%2.05السعر العادل
EV -1.68%
الأفضلية -0.833%
Kelly -1.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.38%48.75%48.74%50.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.901.912.0255.87%52.57%52.36%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.42%3.52السعر العادل
EV -0.540%
الأفضلية -0.154%
Kelly -0.216%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.61%28.33%28.39%29.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.33%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV -0.337%E -0.078%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.58%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -1.96%E -0.568%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 15:08
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.33%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 14:45
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:45
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:45
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:49
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:50
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:49
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.48%E -0.345%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 10:50
1xBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -1.68%E -0.833%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 15:19
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -1.68%E -0.833%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 15:04
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -1.68%E -0.833%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 15:05
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.99%EV -1.68%E -0.833%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.20%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 15:04
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 14:44
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 14:45
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 10:49
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 10:49
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.63%E -0.618%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 10:49
Pinnacle4.23I 23.64%NM 22.83%EV -3.09%E -0.730%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.52%EV -3.14%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.65%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 15:15
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 14:44
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 15:00
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 15:14
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:45
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 14:45
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 14:44
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.77%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -11.90%E -6.58%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 10:49
GTbets4.19I 23.87%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.955%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.55%EV -5.58%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 15:04
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.58%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 14:58
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.65%EV -10.44%E -5.68%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -0.540%E -0.154%K -0.216%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:59
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:45
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 15:00
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.83%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%EV -10.44%E -5.68%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:15
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -6.07%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -12.88%E -7.19%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 14:44
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:00
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:14
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 15:35
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:25
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 14:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 15:04
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 14:45
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -11.42%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -1.96%E -0.568%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 14:39
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 15:14
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -8.36%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 15:04
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -8.81%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:19
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.50%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -3.63%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:00
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.50%E -2.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -3.63%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:59
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:15
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:15
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:19
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.65%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:19
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -11.79%E -3.06%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:00
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.94%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.08%E -3.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -12.39%E -6.88%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-08 15:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-08 15:19
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-03-08 15:25
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-03-08 15:00
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%2.3%2026-03-08 15:25