La scuola delle quote

CF Estrela v FC Porto

Inizio: 2026-04-26 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CF Estrela (Casa)

Previsione 10.60%9.43quota equa
EV +16.59%
Vantaggio +1.51%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescita +0.275%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.58%10.55%10.62%12.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.509.179.0011.0013.33%10.90%11.11%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Porto (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.34%1.42quota equa
EV -4.34%
Vantaggio -3.19%
Kelly -12.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.94%70.42%70.29%72.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.17%76.34%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.06%5.25quota equa
EV +3.14%
Vantaggio +0.581%
Kelly +0.712%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.92%19.03%19.09%21.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.884.905.4123.81%20.48%20.41%18.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +16.59%E +1.51%K +1.66%G +0.275%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +16.59%E +1.51%K +1.66%G +0.275%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:31
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:31
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:31
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.33%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 01:34
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:10
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -11.38%E -9.03%K -43.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -11.38%E -9.03%K -43.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.08%E -9.66%K -48.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:30
1xBet9.95I 10.05%NM 9.74%EV +5.46%E +0.549%K +0.610%G +0.033%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.92%EV +3.14%E +0.581%K +0.712%G +0.022%3.2%2026-04-22 08:29
Betr (AU)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.56%EV +3.34%E +0.343%K +0.382%G +0.013%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:35
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:34
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:34
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 22:49
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:45
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:44
Marathon Bet9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -2.49%E -0.270%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 08:24
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.090%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:03
betfred_uk9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 01:35
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.94%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -19.93%E -4.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:45
NordicBet8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -6.73%E -0.765%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:54
Betsson8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -6.73%E -0.765%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:54
Betclic (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV -7.26%E -0.829%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:19
Pinnacle8.74I 11.44%NM 10.81%EV -7.36%E -0.843%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.03%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -0.863%E -0.166%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:09
Unibet (FR)8.60I 11.63%NM 10.77%EV -8.85%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.71%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 13:19
BetUS8.55I 11.70%NM 10.98%EV -9.38%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -2.77%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:09
Bovada8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -1.82%E -0.353%K -0.438%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:55
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:10
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 05:00
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:01
Sky Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:05
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:55
GTbets8.41I 11.89%NM 11.25%EV -10.86%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.63%EV -3.15%E -0.620%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 21:50
NetBet (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 10.97%EV -12.56%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.17%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:00
LowVig.ag8.20I 12.20%NM 11.30%EV -13.09%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.18%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:00
BetOnline.ag8.20I 12.20%NM 11.30%EV -13.09%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.18%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:00
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 21:50
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:05
BetMGM8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 04:10
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:45
Neds7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -17.86%E -2.30%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -17.86%E -2.30%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:50
Winamax (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:20
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Smarkets10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.19%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%3.4%2026-04-24 01:00
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 12.83%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%9.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook9.20I 10.87%NM 9.74%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%11.6%2026-04-23 21:40