مدرسة الاحتمالات

CF Estrela v FC Porto

البداية: 2026-04-26 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

CF Estrela (المضيف)

التنبؤ 10.60%9.43السعر العادل
EV +16.59%
الأفضلية +1.51%
Kelly +1.66%
النمو +0.275%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.58%10.55%10.62%12.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.509.179.0011.0013.33%10.90%11.11%9.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Porto (الضيف)

التنبؤ 70.34%1.42السعر العادل
EV -4.34%
الأفضلية -3.19%
Kelly -12.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.94%70.42%70.29%72.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.17%76.34%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.06%5.25السعر العادل
EV +3.14%
الأفضلية +0.581%
Kelly +0.712%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.92%19.03%19.09%21.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.884.905.4123.81%20.48%20.41%18.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +16.59%E +1.51%K +1.66%G +0.275%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +16.59%E +1.51%K +1.66%G +0.275%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:31
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:31
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:31
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.33%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 01:34
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:10
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -11.38%E -9.03%K -43.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -11.38%E -9.03%K -43.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.08%E -9.66%K -48.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:30
1xBet9.95I 10.05%NM 9.74%EV +5.46%E +0.549%K +0.610%G +0.033%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.92%EV +3.14%E +0.581%K +0.712%G +0.022%3.2%2026-04-22 08:29
Betr (AU)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.56%EV +3.34%E +0.343%K +0.382%G +0.013%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:35
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:34
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:34
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 22:49
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:45
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:44
Marathon Bet9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -2.49%E -0.270%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 08:24
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.090%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:03
betfred_uk9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 01:35
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.94%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -19.93%E -4.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:45
NordicBet8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -6.73%E -0.765%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:54
Betsson8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -6.73%E -0.765%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:54
Betclic (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV -7.26%E -0.829%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:19
Pinnacle8.74I 11.44%NM 10.81%EV -7.36%E -0.843%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.03%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -0.863%E -0.166%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:09
Unibet (FR)8.60I 11.63%NM 10.77%EV -8.85%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.71%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 13:19
BetUS8.55I 11.70%NM 10.98%EV -9.38%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -2.77%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:09
Bovada8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -1.82%E -0.353%K -0.438%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:55
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:10
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 05:00
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:01
Sky Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:05
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:55
GTbets8.41I 11.89%NM 11.25%EV -10.86%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.63%EV -3.15%E -0.620%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 21:50
NetBet (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 10.97%EV -12.56%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.17%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:00
LowVig.ag8.20I 12.20%NM 11.30%EV -13.09%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.18%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:00
BetOnline.ag8.20I 12.20%NM 11.30%EV -13.09%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.18%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:00
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 21:50
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:05
BetMGM8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 04:10
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:45
Neds7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -17.86%E -2.30%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -17.86%E -2.30%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:50
Winamax (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:20
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Smarkets10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.19%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%3.4%2026-04-24 01:00
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 12.83%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%9.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook9.20I 10.87%NM 9.74%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%11.6%2026-04-23 21:40