La escuela de los momios

CF Estrela v FC Porto

Inicio: 2026-04-26 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

CF Estrela (Local)

Predicción 10.60%9.43momio equitativo
EV +16.59%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.275%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.58%10.55%10.62%12.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.509.179.0011.0013.33%10.90%11.11%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Porto (Visitante)

Predicción 70.34%1.42momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -3.19%
Kelly -12.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.94%70.42%70.29%72.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.17%76.34%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.06%5.25momio equitativo
EV +3.14%
Ventaja +0.581%
Kelly +0.712%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.92%19.03%19.09%21.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.884.905.4123.81%20.48%20.41%18.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +16.59%E +1.51%K +1.66%G +0.275%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +16.59%E +1.51%K +1.66%G +0.275%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:31
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:31
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:31
Unibet (NL)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.30%EV -9.97%E -7.79%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +11.29%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.134%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.33%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 01:34
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:10
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -11.38%E -9.03%K -43.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.02%EV -11.38%E -9.03%K -43.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV +5.99%E +0.599%K +0.666%G +0.040%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -12.08%E -9.66%K -48.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:30
1xBet9.95I 10.05%NM 9.74%EV +5.46%E +0.549%K +0.610%G +0.033%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.92%EV +3.14%E +0.581%K +0.712%G +0.022%3.2%2026-04-22 08:29
Betr (AU)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.56%EV +3.34%E +0.343%K +0.382%G +0.013%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:35
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 01:34
Bet Right9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.58%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:34
FanDuel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 22:49
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:45
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +0.692%E +0.073%K +0.081%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:44
Marathon Bet9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -2.49%E -0.270%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 08:24
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.090%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:03
betfred_uk9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 01:35
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -4.61%E -0.512%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.94%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -19.93%E -4.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 22:45
NordicBet8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -6.73%E -0.765%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:54
Betsson8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -6.73%E -0.765%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.57%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.40%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:54
Betclic (FR)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.61%EV -7.26%E -0.829%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:19
Pinnacle8.74I 11.44%NM 10.81%EV -7.36%E -0.843%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.03%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -0.863%E -0.166%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:09
Unibet (FR)8.60I 11.63%NM 10.77%EV -8.85%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.71%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 13:19
BetUS8.55I 11.70%NM 10.98%EV -9.38%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.60%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -2.77%E -0.543%K -0.675%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:09
Bovada8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.69%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -1.82%E -0.353%K -0.438%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:55
888sport8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
888sport (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:10
William Hill8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:09
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 05:00
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:01
Sky Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:05
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:55
GTbets8.41I 11.89%NM 11.25%EV -10.86%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.63%EV -3.15%E -0.620%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 21:50
NetBet (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 10.97%EV -12.56%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.17%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 12:00
LowVig.ag8.20I 12.20%NM 11.30%EV -13.09%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.18%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:00
BetOnline.ag8.20I 12.20%NM 11.30%EV -13.09%E -1.60%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.18%EV -7.16%E -5.42%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 18:00
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 21:50
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:05
BetMGM8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.49%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 04:10
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.56%E -6.59%K -28.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 12:45
Neds7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -17.86%E -2.30%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -17.86%E -2.30%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:50
Winamax (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:20
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.68%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.21%1.7%2026-04-24 00:34
Smarkets10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.19%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.60%3.4%2026-04-24 01:00
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 12.83%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%9.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook9.20I 10.87%NM 9.74%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%11.6%2026-04-23 21:40