L’École des cotesLangue:Français
CF Estrela v Famalicão
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
CF Estrela (Local)
Prévision 25.89%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.428%
Kelly -0.580%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%25.91%25.84%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.573.603.8031.75%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Famalicão (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.42%2.11cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.03
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.31%47.34%47.47%47.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.951.952.0354.95%51.17%51.28%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.69%3.75cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.785%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%26.75%26.69%27.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.453.6432.26%29.03%28.99%27.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.62%E -0.428%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.59%EV -1.88%E -0.497%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.77%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -2.86%E -0.785%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -3.44%E -0.921%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -5.63%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%EV -4.73%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 22:05 |
| Bovada | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 08:22 |
| BetUS | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 17:04 |
| GTbets | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.10%EV -4.68%E -2.33%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 14:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 14:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 15:48 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:08 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 12:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -8.47%E -4.39%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 08:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 07:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.10%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.10%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 01:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -11.79%E -6.34%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-05 07:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 06:05 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -13.21%E -7.22%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -10.84%E -5.77%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -18.45%E -5.86%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.59%EV -13.69%E -7.52%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.50%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |