مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
CF Estrela v Famalicão
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
CF Estrela (المضيف)
التنبؤ 25.89%3.86السعر العادل
EV -1.62%
الأفضلية -0.428%
Kelly -0.580%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.59%25.91%25.84%26.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.573.603.8031.75%28.04%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Famalicão (الضيف)
التنبؤ 47.42%2.11السعر العادل
EV -3.73%
الأفضلية -1.84%
Kelly -3.62%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.03
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.31%47.34%47.47%47.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.951.952.0354.95%51.17%51.28%49.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 26.69%3.75السعر العادل
EV -2.86%
الأفضلية -0.785%
Kelly -1.08%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.64
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.05%26.75%26.69%27.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.443.453.6432.26%29.03%28.99%27.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.62%E -0.428%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.59%EV -1.88%E -0.497%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.77%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -2.86%E -0.785%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -3.44%E -0.921%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -5.63%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%EV -4.73%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 22:05 |
| Bovada | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 08:22 |
| BetUS | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 17:04 |
| GTbets | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.10%EV -4.68%E -2.33%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 14:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 14:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 15:48 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:08 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 12:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -8.47%E -4.39%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 08:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 07:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.10%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.10%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 01:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -11.79%E -6.34%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-05 07:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 06:05 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -13.21%E -7.22%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -10.84%E -5.77%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -18.45%E -5.86%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.59%EV -13.69%E -7.52%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.50%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |