La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CF Estrela v Famalicão
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CF Estrela (Local)
Predicción 25.89%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.580%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%25.91%25.84%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.573.603.8031.75%28.04%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Famalicão (Visitante)
Predicción 47.42%2.11momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.31%47.34%47.47%47.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.951.952.0354.95%51.17%51.28%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.785%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%26.75%26.69%27.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.453.6432.26%29.03%28.99%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.62%E -0.428%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.59%EV -1.88%E -0.497%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.77%EV -3.73%E -1.84%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -2.86%E -0.785%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -3.44%E -0.921%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -5.63%E -2.83%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%EV -4.73%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 22:05 |
| Bovada | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 08:22 |
| BetUS | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -6.57%E -3.34%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.51%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 17:04 |
| GTbets | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.23%EV -6.54%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.10%EV -4.68%E -2.33%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 14:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 14:09 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 14:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 16:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 15:48 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-04 14:08 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 12:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-05 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -8.47%E -4.39%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 08:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.80%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-05 07:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.10%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.10%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.93%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 01:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.69%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -11.79%E -6.34%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-05 07:54 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 06:05 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.93%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.98%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -13.21%E -7.22%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.27%E -5.57%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.57%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -10.84%E -5.77%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -18.45%E -5.86%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.59%EV -13.69%E -7.52%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.50%EV -14.60%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |