Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.71
assuming max odds 3.05
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CF Estrela (Local): 36.56%; Casa Pia (Visit): 32.59%; Draw: 30.85%. For Casa Pia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -0.595%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV -0.915%E -0.338%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -3.53%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -5.30%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV -1.28%E -0.474%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.56%EV -2.88%E -0.965%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -5.00%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.26%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.71%EV -6.54%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.26%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.71%EV -6.54%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -3.47%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -9.01%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.82%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.81%EV -9.01%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 20:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -8.08%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -8.08%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -4.57%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -9.62%E -3.28%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.03%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -3.85%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.37%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -1.29%E -0.404%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.77%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.44%EV -6.46%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.26%EV -7.50%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.53%EV -2.55%E -0.853%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.85%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.50%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 19:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -11.47%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -0.595%E -0.195%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -0.595%E -0.195%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -12.25%E -5.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -14.28%E -5.43%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.72%E -6.19%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -12.98%E -5.45%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -2.84%E -0.901%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -14.08%E -5.99%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -14.08%E -5.99%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -14.08%E -5.99%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -2.22%E -0.741%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -14.08%E -5.99%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.85%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -14.08%E -5.99%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.85%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.38%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -15.17%E -6.54%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -3.85%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.92%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -15.91%E -6.92%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 20:05 |