La scuola delle quote

Braga v CF Estrela

Inizio: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Finale: Braga 2–2 CF Estrela

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Braga (Casa)

Previsione 55.70%1.80quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -5.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.03%55.78%55.59%57.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.12%60.24%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CF Estrela (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.51%4.88quota equa
EV +1.73%
Vantaggio +0.349%
Kelly +0.438%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.87%20.42%20.64%21.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.154.634.604.9624.10%21.61%21.74%20.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.79%4.20quota equa
EV -0.083%
Vantaggio -0.020%
Kelly -0.026%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.09%23.80%23.76%26.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.873.884.2030.30%25.82%25.81%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.00%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.54%EV +1.73%E +0.349%K +0.438%G +0.008%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.46%EV -1.75%E -0.423%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:20
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.76%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -1.14%E -0.236%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.34%EV -2.22%E -0.541%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.46%E -0.600%K -0.794%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:50
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -9.21%E -5.65%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -9.21%E -5.65%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:10
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.67%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 56.99%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -3.65%E -0.902%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:52
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:50
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 16:40
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 16:40
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -10.88%E -6.80%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -13.17%E -3.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.63%E -0.995%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:55
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 16:55
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:53
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -0.083%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:50
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -21.49%E -6.51%K -9.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-16 16:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -8.73%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -8.73%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.32%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:50
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:40
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.80%E -2.75%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.86%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.23%EV -9.21%E -5.65%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.69%EV -14.88%E -3.59%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-05-16 16:45