مدرسة الاحتمالات

Braga v CF Estrela

البداية: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Braga 2–2 CF Estrela

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Braga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.70%1.80السعر العادل
EV -4.20%
الأفضلية -2.44%
Kelly -5.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.72

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.03%55.78%55.59%57.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.661.661.7262.50%60.12%60.24%58.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CF Estrela (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.51%4.88السعر العادل
EV +1.73%
الأفضلية +0.349%
Kelly +0.438%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.87%20.42%20.64%21.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.154.634.604.9624.10%21.61%21.74%20.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.79%4.20السعر العادل
EV -0.083%
الأفضلية -0.020%
Kelly -0.026%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.09%23.80%23.76%26.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.873.884.2030.30%25.82%25.81%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.00%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.54%EV +1.73%E +0.349%K +0.438%G +0.008%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.46%EV -1.75%E -0.423%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:20
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +0.502%E +0.103%K +0.129%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.76%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -1.14%E -0.236%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.34%EV -2.22%E -0.541%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.46%E -0.600%K -0.794%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:50
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -9.21%E -5.65%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -9.21%E -5.65%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:10
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.67%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 56.99%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -3.65%E -0.902%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:52
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:50
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 16:40
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.57%E -0.542%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 16:40
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -10.88%E -6.80%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -13.17%E -3.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.63%E -0.995%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:55
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.10%E -4.91%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 16:55
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:50
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:53
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -0.083%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:50
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:45
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%EV -10.32%E -6.41%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.03%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.45%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -21.49%E -6.51%K -9.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-16 16:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -8.73%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -8.73%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.32%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:50
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:40
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:39
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.80%E -2.75%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.03%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -8.65%E -5.28%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.86%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.23%EV -9.21%E -5.65%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.69%EV -14.88%E -3.59%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 16:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%0.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-05-16 16:45