預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Benfica v Estoril

開賽時間: 2026-08-31 19:15 UTC

最終賽果: Benfica 2–1 Estoril

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

56 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Benfica (主隊)

預測 86.04%1.16公平賠率
EV -3.64%
優勢 -3.25%
Kelly -30.33%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.12

博彩公司預測分布
83.05%85.87%86.01%87.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.71%91.74%89.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Estoril (客隊)

預測 4.56%21.91公平賠率
EV +23.25%
優勢 +0.861%
Kelly +0.894%
成長率 +0.208%

假設最高賠率為 27.00

博彩公司預測分布
3.43%4.61%4.56%6.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
15.0019.5319.0027.006.67%5.12%5.26%3.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 9.40%10.64公平賠率
EV +12.79%
優勢 +1.07%
Kelly +1.16%
成長率 +0.149%

假設最高賠率為 12.00

博彩公司預測分布
7.78%9.52%9.44%13.06%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.109.679.5012.0014.08%10.35%10.53%8.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Benfica (主隊):86.04%;Estoril (客隊):4.56%;和局:9.40%。 對於「Estoril (客隊)」,該估計相當於21.91的公平十進位賠率。 當時有8家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為27.00,對應+23.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (56 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.51%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.43%EV +23.25%E +0.861%K +0.894%G +0.208%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -33.27%E -4.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 18:29
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.51%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.43%EV +23.25%E +0.861%K +0.894%G +0.208%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -33.27%E -4.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 18:29
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.86%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +18.69%E +0.719%K +0.747%G +0.140%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -29.51%E -3.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%25.99I 3.85%NM 3.71%EV +18.64%E +0.717%K +0.746%G +0.139%11.31I 8.84%NM 8.53%EV +6.30%E +0.557%K +0.611%G +0.039%3.6%2026-08-31 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.03%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +9.56%E +0.398%K +0.416%G +0.040%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.09%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +4.99%E +0.217%K +0.227%G +0.011%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.29%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%22.50I 4.44%NM 4.22%EV +2.71%E +0.120%K +0.126%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.27%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +0.427%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%7.1%2026-08-31 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 16:39
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.21%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +8.09%E +0.703%K +0.770%G +0.062%5.2%2026-08-31 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.82%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.50%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.68%EV -8.36%E -0.858%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 19:05
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%6.4%2026-08-31 19:05
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%6.4%2026-08-31 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%6.4%2026-08-31 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%6.4%2026-08-31 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 18:00
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.05%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 19:09
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.05%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 19:10
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -8.70%E -0.435%K -0.458%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 19:02
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -8.70%E -0.435%K -0.458%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.49%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%19.25I 5.19%NM 4.71%EV -12.13%E -0.630%K -0.664%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.80%EV -13.06%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:08
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%5.3%2026-08-31 18:55
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:05
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.30%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +12.79%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.149%7.1%2026-08-31 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.78%EV -9.66%E -9.20%K -193.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.74%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.85%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -17.83%E -0.991%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:00
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.75%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.75%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.40%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.05%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.55%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.39%EV -26.69%E -3.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 19:10
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.14%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 19:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%0.6%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.25%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.42%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-08-31 19:05
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 89.33%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.8%2026-08-31 19:10
Kalshi◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.25%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.84%2.1%2026-08-31 19:05