Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.12
avec la cote maximale 27.00
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Benfica (Local) : 86.04% ; Estoril (Visiteur) : 4.56% ; Match nul : 9.40%. Pour Estoril (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 21.91. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 27.00, soit une espérance positive de +23.25%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.51%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.43%EV +23.25%E +0.861%K +0.894%G +0.208% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -33.27%E -4.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.51%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.43%EV +23.25%E +0.861%K +0.894%G +0.208% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -33.27%E -4.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.86%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +18.69%E +0.719%K +0.747%G +0.140% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -29.51%E -3.93%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 25.99I 3.85%NM 3.71%EV +18.64%E +0.717%K +0.746%G +0.139% | 11.31I 8.84%NM 8.53%EV +6.30%E +0.557%K +0.611%G +0.039% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.03%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +9.56%E +0.398%K +0.416%G +0.040% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.09%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +4.99%E +0.217%K +0.227%G +0.011% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.29%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 22.50I 4.44%NM 4.22%EV +2.71%E +0.120%K +0.126%G +0.003% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.27%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +0.427%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.21%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +8.09%E +0.703%K +0.770%G +0.062% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.82%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.50%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.68%EV -8.36%E -0.858%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.05%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 19:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.05%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -8.70%E -0.435%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 19:02 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -8.70%E -0.435%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.49%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000% | 19.25I 5.19%NM 4.71%EV -12.13%E -0.630%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.80%EV -13.06%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 19:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.30%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +12.79%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.149% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.78%EV -9.66%E -9.20%K -193.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.74%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.85%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -17.83%E -0.991%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.75%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.75%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.40%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.05%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.55%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.39%EV -26.69%E -3.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.14%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.25% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.42% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.33% | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.25% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.84% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |