StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Benfica v Estoril

Matchstart: 2026-08-31 19:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Benfica 2–1 Estoril

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Benfica (Hemma)

Prognos 86.04%1.16rättvist odds
EV -3.64%
Fördel -3.25%
Kelly -30.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
83.05%85.87%86.01%87.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.71%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Estoril (Borta)

Prognos 4.56%21.91rättvist odds
EV +23.25%
Fördel +0.861%
Kelly +0.894%
Tillväxt +0.208%

med antagandet om högsta odds 27.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.43%4.61%4.56%6.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
15.0019.5319.0027.006.67%5.12%5.26%3.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 9.40%10.64rättvist odds
EV +12.79%
Fördel +1.07%
Kelly +1.16%
Tillväxt +0.149%

med antagandet om högsta odds 12.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.78%9.52%9.44%13.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.109.679.5012.0014.08%10.35%10.53%8.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Benfica (Hemma): 86.04%; Estoril (Borta): 4.56%; Oavgjort: 9.40%. För Estoril (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 21.91. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 27.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +23.25%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.51%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.43%EV +23.25%E +0.861%K +0.894%G +0.208%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -33.27%E -4.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 18:29
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.51%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.43%EV +23.25%E +0.861%K +0.894%G +0.208%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.06%EV -33.27%E -4.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 18:29
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.86%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +18.69%E +0.719%K +0.747%G +0.140%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -29.51%E -3.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%25.99I 3.85%NM 3.71%EV +18.64%E +0.717%K +0.746%G +0.139%11.31I 8.84%NM 8.53%EV +6.30%E +0.557%K +0.611%G +0.039%3.6%2026-08-31 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.03%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +9.56%E +0.398%K +0.416%G +0.040%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.09%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +4.99%E +0.217%K +0.227%G +0.011%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.29%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%22.50I 4.44%NM 4.22%EV +2.71%E +0.120%K +0.126%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.27%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +0.427%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%7.1%2026-08-31 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 16:39
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.01%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.33%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.40%EV -3.66%E -0.357%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.21%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.27%EV +8.09%E +0.703%K +0.770%G +0.062%5.2%2026-08-31 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.82%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.50%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.68%EV -8.36%E -0.858%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 19:05
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%6.4%2026-08-31 19:05
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%6.4%2026-08-31 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%6.4%2026-08-31 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%6.4%2026-08-31 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 18:00
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.05%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 19:09
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.05%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.34%EV -4.14%E -0.197%K -0.207%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 19:10
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -8.70%E -0.435%K -0.458%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 19:02
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.17%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.61%EV -8.70%E -0.435%K -0.458%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.49%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%19.25I 5.19%NM 4.71%EV -12.13%E -0.630%K -0.664%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.80%EV -13.06%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:08
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%5.3%2026-08-31 18:55
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:05
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.30%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +12.79%E +1.07%K +1.16%G +0.149%7.1%2026-08-31 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.74%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.78%EV -9.66%E -9.20%K -193.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.74%EV -13.27%E -0.698%K -0.737%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -10.71%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.85%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -17.83%E -0.991%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:00
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.75%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.75%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.39%E +0.308%K +0.339%G +0.011%5.1%2026-08-31 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.40%EV -4.50%E -4.05%K -40.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.87%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -7.08%E -6.56%K -88.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -22.40%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -20.11%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.19%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -6.01%E -0.601%K -0.668%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.05%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.55%EV -26.96%E -1.69%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.39%EV -26.69%E -3.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 19:10
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -5.36%E -4.87%K -53.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -1.31%E -0.125%K -0.138%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.14%EV -8.80%E -8.30%K -146.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -31.53%E -2.10%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -15.41%E -1.71%K -1.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 19:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%0.6%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.25%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.42%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-08-31 19:05
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 89.33%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.39%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.8%2026-08-31 19:10
Kalshi◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.25%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.84%2.1%2026-08-31 19:05