L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Benfica v Braga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Benfica (Local)
Prévision 68.20%1.47cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -3.23%
Kelly -11.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.68%68.19%68.15%70.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.42%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Braga (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.31%8.12cote équitable
EV +4.00%
Avantage +0.474%
Kelly +0.537%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 8.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.50%12.38%12.33%14.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.377.508.4516.67%13.57%13.33%11.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.50%5.13cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.265%
Kelly +0.328%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 5.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.99%19.43%19.53%21.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.724.755.2025.00%21.20%21.05%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.41%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.50%EV +4.00%E +0.474%K +0.537%G +0.022% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.09%EV -0.769%E -0.151%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.06%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -0.306%E -0.038%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -1.54%E -0.192%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -1.54%E -0.192%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +1.38%E +0.265%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 16:17 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.21%E -3.75%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -2.77%E -0.350%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -13.25%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.21%E -3.75%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -2.77%E -0.350%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -13.25%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.08%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.79I 12.84%NM 12.15%EV -4.12%E -0.529%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.78%EV -1.74%E -0.346%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.57%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -4.61%E -0.595%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Bovada | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.52%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -3.50%E -0.707%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 08:22 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.52%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -3.50%E -0.707%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.62%E -6.43%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 00:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 00:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.43I 13.46%NM 12.72%EV -8.55%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.77%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| Everygame | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -10.77%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.81%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -11.38%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -8.37%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.81%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -11.38%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -8.37%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 08:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.47%EV -10.66%E -8.14%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.45%EV -12.61%E -1.78%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.37%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 22:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 00:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 06:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -22.02%E -5.50%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-04 23:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 65.70%EV -12.03%E -9.32%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.12%EV -26.15%E -4.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.18%EV -18.12%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.61% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.61% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 13:05 |