مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Benfica v Braga
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Benfica (المضيف)
التنبؤ 68.20%1.47السعر العادل
EV -4.52%
الأفضلية -3.23%
Kelly -11.31%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.68%68.19%68.15%70.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.361.361.4077.52%73.42%73.53%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Braga (الضيف)
التنبؤ 12.31%8.12السعر العادل
EV +4.00%
الأفضلية +0.474%
Kelly +0.537%
النمو +0.022%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.45
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.50%12.38%12.33%14.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.007.377.508.4516.67%13.57%13.33%11.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 19.50%5.13السعر العادل
EV +1.38%
الأفضلية +0.265%
Kelly +0.328%
النمو +0.005%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.99%19.43%19.53%21.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.724.755.2025.00%21.20%21.05%19.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.41%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.50%EV +4.00%E +0.474%K +0.537%G +0.022% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.09%EV -0.769%E -0.151%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.06%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -0.306%E -0.038%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -1.54%E -0.192%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 07:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -1.54%E -0.192%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV +1.38%E +0.265%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 16:17 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.21%E -3.75%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -2.77%E -0.350%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -13.25%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -5.21%E -3.75%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -2.77%E -0.350%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -13.25%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.08%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.79I 12.84%NM 12.15%EV -4.12%E -0.529%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.78%EV -1.74%E -0.346%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.57%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -4.61%E -0.595%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Bovada | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.52%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -3.50%E -0.707%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 08:22 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.52%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -3.50%E -0.707%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 12:28 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.62%E -6.43%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 00:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.52%E -0.505%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 00:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 15:19 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.69%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-05 12:29 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.51%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.43I 13.46%NM 12.72%EV -8.55%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.77%EV -6.81%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 00:25 |
| Everygame | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -10.77%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.81%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -11.38%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -8.37%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.81%EV -7.93%E -5.88%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.71%EV -11.38%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.48%EV -8.37%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 08:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.47%EV -10.66%E -8.14%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.45%EV -12.61%E -1.78%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.22%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 23:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -5.89%E -4.27%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.40%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 07:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.57%E -4.80%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -8.37%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 22:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 00:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 06:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -13.84%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -22.02%E -5.50%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-04 23:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -10.32%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-05 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.30%E -6.99%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.27%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 65.70%EV -12.03%E -9.32%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.12%EV -26.15%E -4.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.18%EV -18.12%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.61% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.61% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.16% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 13:05 |