Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Benfica v AVS Futebol SAD

Początek: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Benfica (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 85.77%1.17kurs godziwy
EV -3.94%
Przewaga -3.51%
Kelly -32.80%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.12

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
83.50%85.84%85.58%88.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.061.091.091.1294.34%91.67%91.74%89.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

AVS Futebol SAD (Goście)

Prognoza 4.37%22.86kurs godziwy
EV +18.62%
Przewaga +0.687%
Kelly +0.713%
Wzrost +0.133%

przy maksymalnym kursie 27.12

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
3.55%4.43%4.43%6.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
15.0021.2421.0027.126.67%4.71%4.76%3.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 9.85%10.15kurs godziwy
EV +18.25%
Przewaga +1.52%
Kelly +1.66%
Wzrost +0.303%

przy maksymalnym kursie 12.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.79%9.74%9.99%11.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.009.409.0012.0012.50%10.64%11.11%8.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Benfica (Gospodarze): 85.77%; AVS Futebol SAD (Goście): 4.37%; Remis: 9.85%. Dla wyniku AVS Futebol SAD (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 22.86. 21 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 27.12, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +18.62%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +18.25%E +1.52%K +1.66%G +0.303%7.0%2026-02-21 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%27.12I 3.69%NM 3.55%EV +18.62%E +0.687%K +0.713%G +0.133%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.21%EV +15.40%E +1.31%K +1.44%G +0.221%4.0%2026-02-21 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.3%2026-02-21 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%6.4%2026-02-21 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +3.47%E +0.331%K +0.365%G +0.013%6.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.03%EV -8.22%E -7.69%K -117.49%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +4.97%E +0.207%K +0.216%G +0.011%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.09%EV +1.01%E +0.098%K +0.109%G +0.001%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.66%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.81%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:19
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:55
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:54
Everygame🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:14
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -3.43%E -0.350%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -3.43%E -0.350%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:39
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.63%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.12%EV -19.08%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.25%EV -8.85%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:45
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:45
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -34.39%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -34.39%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.17%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.32%EV -13.77%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.97%EV -8.22%E -7.69%K -117.49%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.24%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.24%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.93%EV -17.22%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.08%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 4.91%EV -19.08%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.01%EV -18.70%E -2.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.29%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -21.16%E -2.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 17:32
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.92%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%0.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.17%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-02-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.01%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.01%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.81%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.05%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.14%2.4%2026-02-21 17:55