النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Benfica v AVS Futebol SAD

البداية: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Benfica (المضيف)

التنبؤ 85.77%1.17السعر العادل
EV -3.94%
الأفضلية -3.51%
Kelly -32.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
83.50%85.84%85.58%88.24%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.061.091.091.1294.34%91.67%91.74%89.29%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

AVS Futebol SAD (الضيف)

التنبؤ 4.37%22.86السعر العادل
EV +18.62%
الأفضلية +0.687%
Kelly +0.713%
النمو +0.133%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 27.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
3.55%4.43%4.43%6.09%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
15.0021.2421.0027.126.67%4.71%4.76%3.69%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 9.85%10.15السعر العادل
EV +18.25%
الأفضلية +1.52%
Kelly +1.66%
النمو +0.303%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.79%9.74%9.99%11.38%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
8.009.409.0012.0012.50%10.64%11.11%8.33%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Benfica (المضيف)⁩: ⁨85.77%⁩؛ ⁨AVS Futebol SAD (الضيف)⁩: ⁨4.37%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨9.85%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨AVS Futebol SAD (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨22.86⁩. عرضت 21 شركة مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨27.12⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+18.62%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +18.25%E +1.52%K +1.66%G +0.303%7.0%2026-02-21 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%27.12I 3.69%NM 3.55%EV +18.62%E +0.687%K +0.713%G +0.133%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.21%EV +15.40%E +1.31%K +1.44%G +0.221%4.0%2026-02-21 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.3%2026-02-21 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%6.4%2026-02-21 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +3.47%E +0.331%K +0.365%G +0.013%6.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.03%EV -8.22%E -7.69%K -117.49%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +4.97%E +0.207%K +0.216%G +0.011%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.09%EV +1.01%E +0.098%K +0.109%G +0.001%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.66%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.81%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:19
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:55
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:54
Everygame🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:14
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -3.43%E -0.350%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -3.43%E -0.350%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:39
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.63%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.12%EV -19.08%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.25%EV -8.85%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:45
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:45
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -34.39%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -34.39%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.17%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.32%EV -13.77%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.97%EV -8.22%E -7.69%K -117.49%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.24%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.24%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.93%EV -17.22%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.08%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 4.91%EV -19.08%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.01%EV -18.70%E -2.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.29%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -21.16%E -2.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 17:32
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.92%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%0.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.17%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-02-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.01%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.01%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.81%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.05%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.14%2.4%2026-02-21 17:55