مدرسة الاحتمالات

Benfica v AVS Futebol SAD

البداية: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Benfica (المضيف)

التنبؤ 85.77%1.17السعر العادل
EV -3.94%
الأفضلية -3.51%
Kelly -32.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
83.50%85.84%85.58%88.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.061.091.091.1294.34%91.67%91.74%89.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AVS Futebol SAD (الضيف)

التنبؤ 4.37%22.86السعر العادل
EV +18.62%
الأفضلية +0.687%
Kelly +0.713%
النمو +0.133%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 27.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
3.55%4.43%4.43%6.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
15.0021.2421.0027.126.67%4.71%4.76%3.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 9.85%10.15السعر العادل
EV +18.25%
الأفضلية +1.52%
Kelly +1.66%
النمو +0.303%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.79%9.74%9.99%11.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.009.409.0012.0012.50%10.64%11.11%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +18.25%E +1.52%K +1.66%G +0.303%7.0%2026-02-21 17:15
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%27.12I 3.69%NM 3.55%EV +18.62%E +0.687%K +0.713%G +0.133%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.21%EV +15.40%E +1.31%K +1.44%G +0.221%4.0%2026-02-21 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.3%2026-02-21 17:10
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%6.4%2026-02-21 17:20
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +3.47%E +0.331%K +0.365%G +0.013%6.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.03%EV -8.22%E -7.69%K -117.49%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +4.97%E +0.207%K +0.216%G +0.011%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.09%EV +1.01%E +0.098%K +0.109%G +0.001%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.66%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.81%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:19
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:55
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:54
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:14
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -3.43%E -0.350%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -3.43%E -0.350%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:40
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:39
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:55
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:20
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:20
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.63%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.12%EV -19.08%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.25%EV -8.85%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:45
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:45
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:45
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:39
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:39
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -34.39%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -34.39%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:55
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 85.17%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.32%EV -13.77%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 84.97%EV -8.22%E -7.69%K -117.49%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:39
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.24%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.24%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.93%EV -17.22%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.08%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 4.91%EV -19.08%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.01%EV -18.70%E -2.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.29%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -21.16%E -2.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 17:32
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.92%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%0.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.17%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-02-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.01%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.01%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.81%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.05%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.14%2.4%2026-02-21 17:55