StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Benfica v AVS Futebol SAD

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Benfica (Heim)

Prognose 85.77%1.17faire Quote
EV -3.94%
Vorteil -3.51%
Kelly -32.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.50%85.84%85.58%88.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.091.091.1294.34%91.67%91.74%89.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

AVS Futebol SAD (Auswärts)

Prognose 4.37%22.86faire Quote
EV +18.62%
Vorteil +0.687%
Kelly +0.713%
Wachstum +0.133%

bei einer Höchstquote von 27.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
3.55%4.43%4.43%6.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
15.0021.2421.0027.126.67%4.71%4.76%3.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 9.85%10.15faire Quote
EV +18.25%
Vorteil +1.52%
Kelly +1.66%
Wachstum +0.303%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.79%9.74%9.99%11.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.009.409.0012.0012.50%10.64%11.11%8.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Benfica (Heim): 85.77%; AVS Futebol SAD (Auswärts): 4.37%; Unentschieden: 9.85%. Für AVS Futebol SAD (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 22.86. 21 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 27.12 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +18.62%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +18.25%E +1.52%K +1.66%G +0.303%7.0%2026-02-21 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%27.12I 3.69%NM 3.55%EV +18.62%E +0.687%K +0.713%G +0.133%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.21%EV +15.40%E +1.31%K +1.44%G +0.221%4.0%2026-02-21 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.3%2026-02-21 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.12%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%4.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +8.40%E +0.763%K +0.840%G +0.071%6.4%2026-02-21 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +3.47%E +0.331%K +0.365%G +0.013%6.0%2026-02-21 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.03%EV -8.22%E -7.69%K -117.49%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +4.97%E +0.207%K +0.216%G +0.011%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.09%EV +1.01%E +0.098%K +0.109%G +0.001%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.66%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.81%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:19
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:55
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 17:54
Everygame🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -1.46%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:14
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -3.43%E -0.350%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.75%EV +9.35%E +0.374%K +0.390%G +0.036%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.55%EV -3.43%E -0.350%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -4.79%E -4.32%K -43.58%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-20 05:39
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.38%E -0.672%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.63%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.12%EV -19.08%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.25%EV -8.85%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.98%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:45
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:45
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.69%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +0.600%E +0.026%K +0.027%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -34.39%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV -34.39%E -2.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.31%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.17%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51%EV -12.52%E -0.626%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.32%EV -13.77%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -3.94%E -3.51%K -32.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -5.65%E -5.14%K -56.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.97%EV -8.22%E -7.69%K -117.49%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 05:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.24%EV -9.08%E -8.57%K -151.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.25%EV -25.64%E -1.51%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -16.24%E -1.91%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.24%EV -6.51%E -5.97%K -72.32%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%EV -16.90%E -0.889%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.93%EV -17.22%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.08%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 4.91%EV -19.08%E -1.03%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.01%EV -18.70%E -2.27%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.29%EV -7.37%E -6.82%K -92.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -8.15%E -0.388%K -0.407%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -21.16%E -2.65%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 17:32
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.92%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%0.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.17%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%1.0%2026-02-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.01%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.01%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.2%2026-02-21 17:55
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.81%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.05%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.14%2.4%2026-02-21 17:55