Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

AVS Futebol SAD v Santa Clara

Início: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

AVS Futebol SAD (Local)

Previsão 21.31%4.69odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.258%
Kelly +0.326%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.86%21.23%21.25%22.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.354.334.7524.39%22.97%23.09%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Santa Clara (Visitante)

Previsão 50.48%1.98odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -1.87%
Kelly -3.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.30%50.57%50.51%51.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.851.851.9157.80%54.00%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.21%3.55odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.363%
Kelly -0.509%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.88%28.20%28.24%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.43%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: AVS Futebol SAD (Local): 21.31%; Santa Clara (Visitante): 50.48%; Empate: 28.21%. Para AVS Futebol SAD (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.69. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV +1.22%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.45%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Pinnacle🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.71%EV -0.695%E -0.149%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.33%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.68%E -0.777%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.66%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 15:05
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 10:08
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 15:04
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 15:09
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:10
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:07
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:05
GTbets🎯4.48I 22.32%NM 21.03%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.04%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 13:10
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 15:05
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:59
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.48%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.30%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.27%E -0.363%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 10:10
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 05:14
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -4.59%E -2.43%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -4.59%E -2.43%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 14:40
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.70%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.76%EV -10.14%E -5.70%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:09
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.05%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -12.67%E -7.32%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.76%E -6.51%K -9.98%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-15 12:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:05
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.46%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -11.14%E -3.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 15:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-03-15 15:15