La escuela de los momios

AVS Futebol SAD v Santa Clara

Inicio: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AVS Futebol SAD (Local)

Predicción 21.31%4.69momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.258%
Kelly +0.326%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.86%21.23%21.25%22.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.354.334.7524.39%22.97%23.09%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santa Clara (Visitante)

Predicción 50.48%1.98momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.30%50.57%50.51%51.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.851.851.9157.80%54.00%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.21%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.509%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.88%28.20%28.24%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.43%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV +1.22%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.45%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 08:49
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:10
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:10
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Pinnacle4.66I 21.46%NM 20.71%EV -0.695%E -0.149%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.33%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.68%E -0.777%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 14:50
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.66%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 15:05
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 10:08
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 15:04
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 15:09
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:10
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:07
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:05
GTbets4.48I 22.32%NM 21.03%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.04%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 13:10
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 15:05
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:59
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.48%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.30%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.27%E -0.363%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 10:10
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:09
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 05:14
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -4.59%E -2.43%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -4.59%E -2.43%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 14:40
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:05
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.70%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 10:10
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.76%EV -10.14%E -5.70%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:09
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.05%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:10
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -12.67%E -7.32%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.76%E -6.51%K -9.98%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-15 12:35
Parions Sport (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:05
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.46%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -11.14%E -3.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 15:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-03-15 15:15