L’École des cotes

AVS Futebol SAD v Santa Clara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AVS Futebol SAD (Local)

Prévision 21.31%4.69cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.258%
Kelly +0.326%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.86%21.23%21.25%22.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.354.334.7524.39%22.97%23.09%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Santa Clara (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.48%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.30%50.57%50.51%51.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.851.9157.80%54.00%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.21%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.363%
Kelly -0.509%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.88%28.20%28.24%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.43%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV +1.22%E +0.258%K +0.326%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.45%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 08:49
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:10
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:10
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV +0.158%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Pinnacle4.66I 21.46%NM 20.71%EV -0.695%E -0.149%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.33%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.68%E -0.777%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 14:50
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -4.66%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 15:05
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.09%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 10:08
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 15:04
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 15:09
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:10
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:07
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:05
GTbets4.48I 22.32%NM 21.03%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.04%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 13:10
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 15:05
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:59
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.24%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.48%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -7.30%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.27%E -0.363%K -0.509%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 10:10
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:05
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:09
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 15:05
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 05:14
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -4.59%E -2.43%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -4.59%E -2.43%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 14:40
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:05
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.70%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 10:10
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -8.37%E -1.95%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.76%EV -10.14%E -5.70%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:09
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:50
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.67%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.73%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.05%EV -6.10%E -3.28%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -5.50%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:05
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 15:10
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.14%E -3.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -12.67%E -7.32%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -18.76%E -6.51%K -9.98%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-15 12:35
Parions Sport (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84%EV -7.11%E -3.87%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -6.91%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:05
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.46%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -11.14%E -3.54%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.98%0.0%2026-03-15 15:05
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-03-15 15:15