Школа коэффициентов

Alverca v Sporting Lisbon

Начало: 2026-03-22 18:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alverca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 9.29%10.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +18.87%
Преимущество +1.47%
Kelly +1.60%
Рост +0.302%

при максимальном коэффициенте 12.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
7.61%9.41%9.30%11.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
8.009.7410.0012.8012.50%10.27%10.00%7.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sporting Lisbon (Гости)

Прогноз 74.47%1.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.19%
Преимущество -2.46%
Kelly -10.64%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
71.45%74.41%74.34%77.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.63%79.37%76.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 16.25%6.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.17%
Преимущество +1.36%
Kelly +1.60%
Рост +0.147%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.72

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.33%16.18%16.36%19.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.745.756.7222.22%17.42%17.39%14.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet12.80I 7.81%NM 7.61%EV +18.87%E +1.47%K +1.60%G +0.302%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.90%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.49%EV +9.17%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%2.7%2026-03-22 17:50
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:49
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +0.720%E +0.116%K +0.138%G +0.001%7.2%2026-03-22 17:15
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:49
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:50
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:50
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:49
Pinnacle10.83I 9.23%NM 8.87%EV +0.576%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.62%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.51%EV +0.557%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-22 17:45
BetOnline.ag10.50I 9.52%NM 9.19%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.37%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.44%EV +1.53%E +0.245%K +0.292%G +0.004%3.6%2026-03-22 13:29
LowVig.ag10.50I 9.52%NM 9.19%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.37%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.44%EV +1.53%E +0.245%K +0.292%G +0.004%3.6%2026-03-22 13:30
Betr (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:50
NordicBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -12.28%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:54
Betsson10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -12.28%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:54
Bet Victor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 17:53
DraftKings10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 10:59
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:55
Fanatics10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:05
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:54
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 13:29
BetUS10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:54
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -5.78%E -0.996%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:49
Sky Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +5.59%E +0.861%K +1.02%G +0.057%7.4%2026-03-22 12:00
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:50
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:50
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:55
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 17:50
FanDuel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.89%E -8.18%K -47.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 17:49
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -10.64%E -8.87%K -53.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -5.78%E -0.996%K -1.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 17:19
Marathon Bet9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -8.06%E -0.814%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -4.97%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:49
NetBet (FR)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.29%EV -9.45%E -0.970%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.24%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:54
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:15
ATG (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:15
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.15%E -0.704%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -26.90%E -5.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -3.19%E -2.46%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 10:59
Coral9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -3.19%E -2.46%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 10:59
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Grosvenor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:05
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:30
BetRivers9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:05
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 17:30
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 14:14
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.28%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 17:30
BetMGM8.75I 11.43%NM 10.75%EV -18.74%E -2.14%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 11:00
Parions Sport (FR)8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -20.13%E -2.34%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -7.40%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 17:54
Neds8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -21.06%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -3.19%E -2.46%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -21.06%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -3.19%E -2.46%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 10:59
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -21.06%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.62%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:55
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -25.71%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.06%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -5.78%E -0.996%K -1.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.0%2026-03-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.0%2026-03-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.0%2026-03-22 17:45
Matchbook13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.0%2026-03-22 17:45
Smarkets12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.14%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-03-22 17:55
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%3.0%2026-03-22 17:55