Die Schule der Quoten

Alverca v Sporting Lisbon

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-22 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alverca (Heim)

Prognose 9.29%10.77faire Quote
EV +18.87%
Vorteil +1.47%
Kelly +1.60%
Wachstum +0.302%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.61%9.41%9.30%11.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
8.009.7410.0012.8012.50%10.27%10.00%7.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sporting Lisbon (Auswärts)

Prognose 74.47%1.34faire Quote
EV -3.19%
Vorteil -2.46%
Kelly -10.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.45%74.41%74.34%77.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.63%79.37%76.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.25%6.16faire Quote
EV +9.17%
Vorteil +1.36%
Kelly +1.60%
Wachstum +0.147%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.33%16.18%16.36%19.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.745.756.7222.22%17.42%17.39%14.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet12.80I 7.81%NM 7.61%EV +18.87%E +1.47%K +1.60%G +0.302%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.90%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.49%EV +9.17%E +1.36%K +1.60%G +0.147%2.7%2026-03-22 17:50
Coolbet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 17:49
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +0.720%E +0.116%K +0.138%G +0.001%7.2%2026-03-22 17:15
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:49
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:50
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:50
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +2.16%E +0.196%K +0.216%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:49
Pinnacle10.83I 9.23%NM 8.87%EV +0.576%E +0.053%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.62%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.51%EV +0.557%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-22 17:45
BetOnline.ag10.50I 9.52%NM 9.19%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.37%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.44%EV +1.53%E +0.245%K +0.292%G +0.004%3.6%2026-03-22 13:29
LowVig.ag10.50I 9.52%NM 9.19%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.37%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.44%EV +1.53%E +0.245%K +0.292%G +0.004%3.6%2026-03-22 13:30
Betr (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:50
NordicBet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -12.28%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:54
Betsson10.50I 9.52%NM 8.92%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.74%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -12.28%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:54
Bet Victor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -2.49%E -0.237%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 17:53
DraftKings10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 10:59
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:55
Fanatics10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:05
Bovada10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:54
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 13:29
BetUS10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:54
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -5.78%E -0.996%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:49
Sky Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +5.59%E +0.861%K +1.02%G +0.057%7.4%2026-03-22 12:00
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:50
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:50
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:50
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:55
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 17:50
FanDuel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -9.89%E -8.18%K -47.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 17:49
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -7.13%E -0.713%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -10.64%E -8.87%K -53.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -5.78%E -0.996%K -1.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 17:19
Marathon Bet9.90I 10.10%NM 9.42%EV -8.06%E -0.814%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -4.97%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:49
NetBet (FR)9.75I 10.26%NM 9.29%EV -9.45%E -0.970%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.24%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:54
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:15
ATG (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.68%E -3.66%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:15
Betclic (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.15%E -0.704%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -11.78%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -26.90%E -5.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -3.19%E -2.46%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 10:59
Coral9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -3.19%E -2.46%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 10:59
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Grosvenor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:05
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:30
BetRivers9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:05
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.26%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 17:30
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 14:14
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.65%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 17:29
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV -16.42%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -9.15%E -7.50%K -41.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.28%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 17:30
BetMGM8.75I 11.43%NM 10.75%EV -18.74%E -2.14%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90%EV -3.94%E -3.05%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 11:00
Parions Sport (FR)8.60I 11.63%NM 10.78%EV -20.13%E -2.34%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -5.43%E -4.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -7.40%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 17:54
Neds8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -21.06%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -3.19%E -2.46%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -21.06%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.20%EV -3.19%E -2.46%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -9.03%E -1.61%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 10:59
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -21.06%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.62%EV -6.17%E -4.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 17:55
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -25.71%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.06%EV -7.66%E -6.18%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -5.78%E -0.996%K -1.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 17:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.0%2026-03-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.0%2026-03-22 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.0%2026-03-22 17:45
Matchbook13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%1.0%2026-03-22 17:45
Smarkets12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.14%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-03-22 17:55
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56%3.0%2026-03-22 17:55