La scuola delle quote

Alverca v Santa Clara

Inizio: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alverca (Casa)

Previsione 29.58%3.38quota equa
EV -0.923%
Vantaggio -0.276%
Kelly -0.393%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.70%29.82%29.48%32.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.103.103.3534.72%32.23%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santa Clara (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.00%2.56quota equa
EV +1.39%
Vantaggio +0.535%
Kelly +0.870%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.64%38.80%39.12%40.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.422.402.6045.45%41.36%41.67%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.43%3.18quota equa
EV -2.57%
Vantaggio -0.830%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.15%31.37%31.40%32.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.07%34.48%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -14.82%E -5.15%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -0.558%E -0.219%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:25
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -0.558%E -0.219%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -0.923%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.99%EV -4.77%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 15:20
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.43%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.04%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -3.52%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:04
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:25
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -1.81%E -0.545%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -4.85%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 15:25
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -1.81%E -0.545%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -4.85%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -2.57%E -0.830%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:05
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.28%EV -4.77%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 15:05
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:19
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:05
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.55%EV -6.54%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -6.03%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.96%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.18%EV -9.80%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 30.02%EV -10.39%E -3.43%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.39%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.47%EV -9.80%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.57%E -0.830%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:15
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:25
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.00%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -14.21%E -6.46%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -13.57%E -4.94%K -7.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65%0.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%1.9%2026-02-21 15:25