مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alverca v Santa Clara

البداية: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alverca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.58%3.38السعر العادل
EV -0.923%
الأفضلية -0.276%
Kelly -0.393%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.70%29.82%29.48%32.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.103.103.3534.72%32.23%32.26%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Santa Clara (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.00%2.56السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.535%
Kelly +0.870%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.64%38.80%39.12%40.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.422.402.6045.45%41.36%41.67%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.43%3.18السعر العادل
EV -2.57%
الأفضلية -0.830%
Kelly -1.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.15%31.37%31.40%32.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.07%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -14.82%E -5.15%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -0.558%E -0.219%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:25
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -0.558%E -0.219%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -0.923%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.99%EV -4.77%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 15:20
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.43%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.04%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -3.52%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:04
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:25
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -1.81%E -0.545%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -4.85%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 15:25
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -1.81%E -0.545%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -4.85%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -2.57%E -0.830%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:05
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.28%EV -4.77%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 15:05
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:19
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:05
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.55%EV -6.54%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -6.03%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.96%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.18%EV -9.80%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 30.02%EV -10.39%E -3.43%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.39%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.47%EV -9.80%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.57%E -0.830%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:15
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:25
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.00%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -14.21%E -6.46%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -13.57%E -4.94%K -7.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 15:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65%0.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%1.9%2026-02-21 15:25