L’École des cotes

Alverca v Santa Clara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alverca (Local)

Prévision 29.58%3.38cote équitable
EV -0.923%
Avantage -0.276%
Kelly -0.393%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.70%29.82%29.48%32.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.103.103.3534.72%32.23%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Santa Clara (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.00%2.56cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.535%
Kelly +0.870%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.64%38.80%39.12%40.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.422.402.6045.45%41.36%41.67%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.43%3.18cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -0.830%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%31.37%31.40%32.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.07%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-20 05:40
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -14.82%E -5.15%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +1.39%E +0.535%K +0.870%G +0.012%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -0.558%E -0.219%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:25
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -0.558%E -0.219%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -2.51%E -1.00%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -0.923%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.99%EV -4.77%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 15:20
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.43%EV -2.70%E -0.820%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.04%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.54%EV -3.52%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -3.29%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:04
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -4.46%E -1.82%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:25
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -1.81%E -0.545%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -4.85%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 15:25
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -1.81%E -0.545%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.57%EV -4.85%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.35%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -2.57%E -0.830%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:05
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.28%EV -4.77%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 15:05
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:19
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -6.41%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:05
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.55%EV -6.54%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.23%EV -6.03%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.29%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.19%E -3.02%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.96%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.18%EV -9.80%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 30.02%EV -10.39%E -3.43%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.39%EV -7.58%E -3.20%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.49%E -3.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -8.36%E -3.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.47%EV -9.80%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.57%E -0.830%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.72%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 15:15
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.31%E -4.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:25
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.00%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -12.26%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -14.21%E -6.46%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -13.57%E -4.94%K -7.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.48%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.65%0.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%0.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.66%1.9%2026-02-21 15:25