La scuola delle quote

Alverca v Casa Pia

Inizio: 2026-04-12 14:32 UTC

Finale: Alverca 3–1 Casa Pia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alverca (Casa)

Previsione 49.13%2.04quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -2.15%
Kelly -4.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.66%49.15%49.11%50.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.901.911.9554.95%52.56%52.36%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Casa Pia (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.95%4.36quota equa
EV +0.974%
Vantaggio +0.221%
Kelly +0.286%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.34%22.93%23.01%24.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.024.004.4026.67%24.85%25.00%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.92%3.58quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -0.650%
Kelly -0.910%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.72%27.92%27.88%29.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.05%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +0.974%E +0.221%K +0.286%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 14:29
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.81%EV -4.69%E -2.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.01%EV +0.744%E +0.170%K +0.220%G +0.002%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.17%EV -4.23%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 14:29
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 49.82%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -0.633%E -0.146%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.95%EV -8.62%E -4.63%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -0.633%E -0.146%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:30
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.72%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.50%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.78%EV -2.55%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.32%E -0.307%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.41%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.27%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 49.44%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.581%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 14:19
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -2.28%E -0.650%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:28
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:29
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:29
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%EV -7.14%E -3.78%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:29
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -10.09%E -5.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -3.62%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -4.76%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -5.91%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:29
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:30
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:27
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:29
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:29
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 14:29
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
NetBet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -10.58%E -5.81%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.21%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:29
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -4.20%E -2.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 14:29
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -5.67%E -2.95%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:29
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 14:28
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -5.18%E -2.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -6.65%E -3.50%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.46%EV -7.14%E -3.78%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:29
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -11.65%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.16%E -3.23%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 14:28
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.64%E -4.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.11%E -4.92%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.80%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.62%E -4.63%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.09%E -5.51%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -16.24%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31%1.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-04-12 14:30