L’École des cotes

Alverca v AVS Futebol SAD

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alverca (Local)

Prévision 56.24%1.78cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -5.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.81%56.28%56.23%58.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.651.661.7163.69%60.44%60.24%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AVS Futebol SAD (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.75%5.33cote équitable
EV -0.643%
Avantage -0.121%
Kelly -0.149%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.59%18.72%18.76%20.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.965.005.3022.73%20.16%20.00%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.01%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.630%
Kelly -0.848%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.96%24.99%25.01%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.713.753.9030.30%26.94%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.68%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -2.46%E -0.630%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:20
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.68%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -2.46%E -0.630%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:19
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.43%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.70%EV -3.27%E -0.633%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.87%EV -2.96%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 15:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 14:33
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:24
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 09:40
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 09:36
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 10:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:00
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.20%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.69%EV -5.33%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 15:24
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.20%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 09:29
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.20%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 09:29
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.95%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -13.77%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 09:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 15:15
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 15:24
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 13:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:25
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:39
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:39
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.62%EV -5.33%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 15:25
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -7.20%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:24
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:44
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:45
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:44
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.14%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 15:09
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:25
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -13.77%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 09:39
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:44
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 15:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 15:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.95%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 09:39
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -0.643%E -0.121%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:19
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 15:19
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.14%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:45
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.29%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -10.01%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -0.643%E -0.121%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.46%E -0.630%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:25
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -10.01%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:19
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -10.01%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.51%E -3.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 09:39
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -11.70%E -7.45%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -8.14%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.70%E -7.45%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -15.64%E -3.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -17.46%E -5.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-07 15:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-07 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.67%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-03-07 15:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-03-07 14:34