مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alverca v AVS Futebol SAD

البداية: 2026-03-07 15:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alverca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.24%1.78السعر العادل
EV -3.83%
الأفضلية -2.24%
Kelly -5.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.81%56.28%56.23%58.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.651.661.7163.69%60.44%60.24%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AVS Futebol SAD (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.75%5.33السعر العادل
EV -0.643%
الأفضلية -0.121%
Kelly -0.149%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.59%18.72%18.76%20.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.965.005.3022.73%20.16%20.00%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.01%4.00السعر العادل
EV -2.46%
الأفضلية -0.630%
Kelly -0.848%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.96%24.99%25.01%26.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.713.753.9030.30%26.94%26.67%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.68%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -2.46%E -0.630%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:20
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.68%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -2.46%E -0.630%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:19
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.43%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.70%EV -3.27%E -0.633%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.87%EV -2.96%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 15:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 14:33
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 15:24
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 09:40
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 09:36
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 10:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:00
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.20%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.69%EV -5.33%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 15:24
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.20%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 09:29
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.20%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 09:29
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.95%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -5.51%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -13.77%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 09:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 15:15
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 15:24
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 13:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:24
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.07%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 15:25
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:39
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:39
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.62%EV -5.33%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 15:25
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -7.20%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:24
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:44
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:45
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:44
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.20%E -4.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.14%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 15:09
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:25
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -13.77%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 09:39
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:44
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -8.32%E -5.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.46%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:50
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 15:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 15:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.95%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 09:39
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -0.643%E -0.121%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.96%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:19
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 15:19
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.14%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 14:45
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.29%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -8.71%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -10.01%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -0.643%E -0.121%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -2.46%E -0.630%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:25
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -10.01%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:19
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -10.01%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.51%E -3.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -12.46%E -3.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 09:39
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -11.70%E -7.45%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -8.14%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -9.96%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.70%E -7.45%K -20.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -15.64%E -3.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -17.46%E -5.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-07 15:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-07 15:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-03-07 15:20
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.67%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-03-07 15:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-03-07 14:34