Language:English
Zagłębie Lubin v Radomiak Radom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prediction 40.29%2.48fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -0.887%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.22%40.17%40.32%40.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.302.4546.51%43.29%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Radomiak Radom (Visit)
Prediction 31.68%3.16fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.82%31.74%31.70%34.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.803.0438.46%35.33%35.71%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.03%3.57fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.09%27.99%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.65%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 40.29%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 31.68%; Draw: 28.03%. For Zagłębie Lubin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:27 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.24%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.64%EV -3.70%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -3.70%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.25%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -6.87%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 15:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -7.50%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -7.50%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.12%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 15:16 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 15:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -17.64%E -6.78%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.09%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -19.27%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -14.50%E -4.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.95%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.78%EV -17.01%E -6.49%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-11 15:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.44% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |