La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Zagłębie Lubin v Radomiak Radom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Predicción 40.29%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -0.887%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.22%40.17%40.32%40.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.312.302.4546.51%43.29%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Radomiak Radom (Visitante)
Predicción 31.68%3.16momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.82%31.74%31.70%34.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.803.0438.46%35.33%35.71%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.03%3.57momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.09%27.99%29.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.65%30.77%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:27 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.24%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.64%EV -3.70%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -3.70%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.25%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -6.87%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 15:28 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -7.50%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -7.50%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.12%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 15:16 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 15:28 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -17.64%E -6.78%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.09%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -19.27%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -14.50%E -4.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.95%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.78%EV -17.01%E -6.49%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-11 15:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.44% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 15:30 |