La scuola delle quote

Zagłębie Lubin v Radomiak Radom

Inizio: 2026-04-11 15:32 UTC

Finale: Zagłębie Lubin 1–0 Radomiak Radom

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Casa)

Previsione 40.29%2.48quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.525%
Kelly -0.887%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.22%40.17%40.32%40.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.312.302.4546.51%43.29%43.48%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Radomiak Radom (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.68%3.16quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.82%31.74%31.70%34.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.832.803.0438.46%35.33%35.71%32.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.03%3.57quota equa
EV -4.13%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.27%28.09%27.99%29.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.65%30.77%29.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:30
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -1.29%E -0.525%K -0.887%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 15:30
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 15:27
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 15:30
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 15:30
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -2.09%E -0.861%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 15:30
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:30
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.24%EV -3.70%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.64%EV -3.70%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -4.13%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 15:30
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 15:29
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -3.70%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 15:29
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -16.06%E -6.06%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 15:30
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.25%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -16.69%E -6.35%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 15:30
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -6.52%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -6.87%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 15:28
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 15:29
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 15:30
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -7.50%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 15:29
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -7.50%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 15:29
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 15:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 15:30
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.12%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -7.19%E -2.45%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 15:16
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 15:29
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 15:28
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 15:30
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 15:29
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 15:30
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -17.64%E -6.78%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 15:30
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:30
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.02%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.46%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 15:30
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:30
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.09%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 15:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 15:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 15:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 15:30
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -19.27%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-11 15:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 15:29
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -14.50%E -4.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 15:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.95%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.78%EV -17.01%E -6.49%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-11 15:28
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-11 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-04-11 15:30
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-04-11 15:30
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%3.8%2026-04-11 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%4.0%2026-04-11 15:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 39.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.44%8.8%2026-04-11 15:30