Language:English
Wisła Płock v Radomiak Radom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wisła Płock (Local)
Prediction 38.89%2.57fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.32%38.90%38.91%40.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.5045.45%42.15%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Radomiak Radom (Visit)
Prediction 32.67%3.06fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.21%32.64%32.66%34.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.762.752.9539.22%36.23%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.31%28.46%28.44%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.243.4034.72%31.13%30.86%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Płock (Local): 38.89%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 32.67%; Draw: 28.44%. For Wisła Płock (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -2.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.02%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -5.89%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -5.89%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 10:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.84%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.88%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.88%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 07:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 10:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -6.57%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.84%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -15.06%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.88%EV -7.84%E -3.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.88%EV -7.84%E -3.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:22 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 09:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 10:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -16.70%E -6.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.55%EV -9.00%E -3.85%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -3.63%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 10:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.08%E -6.28%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.19%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.54%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.27%EV -13.24%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 09:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.70%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -13.24%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.87%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.54%EV -16.70%E -6.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.29% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.29% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.68% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 33.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 22.93% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 21.68% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 55.39% | 78.8% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |