Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Płock v Radomiak Radom

Início: 2026-04-26 10:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Płock (Local)

Previsão 38.89%2.57odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.32%38.90%38.91%40.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.372.382.5045.45%42.15%42.02%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Radomiak Radom (Visitante)

Previsão 32.67%3.06odd justa
EV -3.63%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.21%32.64%32.66%34.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.762.752.9539.22%36.23%36.36%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.44%3.52odd justa
EV -3.29%
Vantagem -0.967%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.31%28.46%28.44%29.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.213.243.4034.72%31.13%30.86%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wisła Płock (Local): 38.89%; Radomiak Radom (Visitante): 32.67%; Empate: 28.44%. Para Wisła Płock (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.57. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.50, com valor esperado de -2.78%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 10:40
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 10:40
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 10:45
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 10:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.02%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -5.89%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -5.89%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:19
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:44
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.84%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:25
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.88%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:40
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.88%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 10:40
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -6.57%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.84%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 10:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -15.06%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 10:40
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.88%EV -7.84%E -3.31%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 09:08
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.88%EV -7.84%E -3.31%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:22
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 09:34
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 10:25
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -16.70%E -6.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 10:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.55%EV -9.00%E -3.85%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -3.63%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 09:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 00:15
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 10:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 10:19
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.08%E -6.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-20 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.19%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.54%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.27%EV -13.24%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 09:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.70%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -13.24%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-19 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.87%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.54%EV -16.70%E -6.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 20:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.29%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53%4.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.29%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53%4.6%2026-04-23 22:30
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.68%7.9%2026-04-24 00:29
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 33.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%12.2%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 22.93%2.58I 38.76%NM 21.68%1.01I 99.01%NM 55.39%78.8%2026-04-23 22:35