La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wisła Płock v Radomiak Radom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wisła Płock (Local)
Predicción 38.89%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.32%38.90%38.91%40.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.382.5045.45%42.15%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Radomiak Radom (Visitante)
Predicción 32.67%3.06momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.21%32.64%32.66%34.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.762.752.9539.22%36.23%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.44%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -0.967%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.31%28.46%28.44%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.243.4034.72%31.13%30.86%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.40%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.02%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.25%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -5.50%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -5.89%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -5.89%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 10:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.84%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.88%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.88%E -2.79%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 07:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 10:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -6.57%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.84%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 10:50 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.45%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -15.06%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Bovada | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.88%EV -7.84%E -3.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:08 |
| BetUS | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.88%EV -7.84%E -3.31%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 14:22 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 09:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 10:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -16.70%E -6.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.55%EV -9.00%E -3.85%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -3.63%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.56%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.55%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 10:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-19 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.08%E -6.28%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-20 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.19%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.54%EV -13.43%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.27%EV -13.24%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 09:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.70%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -13.24%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.87%EV -14.45%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.54%EV -16.70%E -6.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -11.82%E -3.81%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.29% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.29% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.68% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 00:29 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.08% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 33.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 22.93% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 21.68% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 55.39% | 78.8% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |