Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 5.30
assuming max odds 4.47
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Kraków (Local): 58.96%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visit): 18.68%; Draw: 22.36%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.472. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.470, with an expected value of -0.049%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.48%E -2.76%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 05:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.48%E -2.76%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 06:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -1.96%E -0.372%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 06:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.21%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.37%EV -2.70%E -0.519%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.42%EV -0.049%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 06:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -9.43%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.68%EV -7.37%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 06:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.73%EV -8.02%E -5.14%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -15.96%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -4.76%E -0.933%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 13:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -3.18%E -0.734%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 06:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 06:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -9.44%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -9.44%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 06:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 13:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.33%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -13.91%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 06:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 13:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.33%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -19.14%E -4.42%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.66%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 06:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 06:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41%EV -10.96%E -7.26%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-18 06:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.98%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.02%EV -12.73%E -8.60%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 14:25 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |