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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Wisła Kraków v Śląsk Wrocław

开赛时间： 2026-09-18 18:30 UTC

最终结果： Wisła Kraków 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Wisła Kraków (主队)

预测 58.96%1.70公平赔率
EV -4.48%
优势 -2.76%
Kelly -7.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
56.73%59.01%58.93%61.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.561.571.6267.57%63.96%63.69%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Śląsk Wrocław (客队)

预测 18.68%5.35公平赔率
EV -1.02%
优势 -0.193%
Kelly -0.238%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
17.34%18.68%18.64%20.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.334.924.905.3023.09%20.31%20.41%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.36%4.47公平赔率
EV -0.049%
优势 -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.47

博彩公司预测分布
21.25%22.30%22.43%24.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.054.054.4726.67%24.68%24.69%22.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Wisła Kraków (主队)：58.96%；Śląsk Wrocław (客队)：18.68%；平局：22.36%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.472。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.470，期望值为-0.049%，未产生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.48%E -2.76%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 05:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.48%E -2.76%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:31
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 06:55
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -1.96%E -0.372%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:15
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:19
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:19
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.21%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.37%EV -2.70%E -0.519%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.42%EV -0.049%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 06:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -9.43%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:20
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.68%EV -7.37%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 13:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:09
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 06:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.73%EV -8.02%E -5.14%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -15.96%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 21:00
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:59
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -4.76%E -0.933%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 13:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:54
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -3.18%E -0.734%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 06:49
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 06:49
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -9.44%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -9.44%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 13:49
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:14
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.33%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -13.91%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 06:20
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 13:13
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 13:10
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.33%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 13:15
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -19.14%E -4.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 06:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.66%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 06:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 06:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41%EV -10.96%E -7.26%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 06:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.98%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.02%EV -12.73%E -8.60%K -26.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-18 14:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-09-18 14:25

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%6.9%2026-09-18 15:30