L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Wisła Kraków v Śląsk Wrocław

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 18:30 UTC

Score final : Wisła Kraków 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Prévision 58.96%1.70cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -2.76%
Kelly -7.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.73%59.01%58.93%61.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.571.6267.57%63.96%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Śląsk Wrocław (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.68%5.35cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.193%
Kelly -0.238%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.34%18.68%18.64%20.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.924.905.3023.09%20.31%20.41%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.36%4.47cote équitable
EV -0.049%
Avantage -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.25%22.30%22.43%24.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.054.054.4726.67%24.68%24.69%22.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wisła Kraków (Local) : 58.96% ; Śląsk Wrocław (Visiteur) : 18.68% ; Match nul : 22.36%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.472. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.470, pour une espérance de -0.049% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (2 issues, contre le format 3 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -4.48%E -2.76%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 05:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.48%E -2.76%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:31
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.07%E -3.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 06:55
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -1.96%E -0.372%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:15
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:19
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:19
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -2.89%E -0.556%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 06:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.54%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.21%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.37%EV -2.70%E -0.519%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.42%EV -0.049%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 06:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -6.84%E -4.33%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -9.43%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:20
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.68%EV -7.37%E -1.49%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 13:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:09
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 06:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.73%EV -8.02%E -5.14%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -15.96%E -3.55%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-15 21:00
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -7.56%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:59
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -4.76%E -0.933%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 13:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.40%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:54
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -3.18%E -0.734%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 06:49
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 06:49
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -9.44%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -9.44%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 13:49
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 06:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.61%E -5.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:14
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.33%EV -9.19%E -5.97%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -8.49%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -13.91%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 06:20
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 13:13
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.62%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 13:10
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.33%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 13:15
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.78%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -19.14%E -4.42%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 06:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -14.09%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.66%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 06:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.25%EV -10.37%E -6.83%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 06:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.41%EV -10.96%E -7.26%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -10.36%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 06:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -1.02%E -0.193%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -3.85%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.98%EV -11.55%E -7.70%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.29%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -11.68%E -2.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.02%EV -12.73%E -8.60%K -26.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -12.23%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-18 14:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-09-18 14:25

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Marge ▲Mise à jour
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%6.9%2026-09-18 15:30