Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisła Kraków v GKS Katowice

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 18:15 UTC

Final: Wisła Kraków 2–1 GKS Katowice

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Prediction 46.57%2.15fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.60%46.53%46.59%48.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.0854.05%50.31%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GKS Katowice (Visit)

Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -0.400%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.148%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%26.96%26.82%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.7032.26%29.45%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -0.598%
Edge -0.159%
Kelly -0.217%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.24%26.51%26.58%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.453.7530.77%29.11%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Kraków (Local): 46.57%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 26.92%; Draw: 26.51%. For GKS Katowice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.400%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -3.13%E -1.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:00
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.87%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.598%E -0.159%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 18:01
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 18:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:59
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.60%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -0.400%E -0.108%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -3.51%E -0.965%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:01
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 18:01
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 18:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 18:11
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:11
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -1.75%E -0.478%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -1.75%E -0.478%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:11
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -1.75%E -0.478%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:01
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -15.21%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -0.400%E -0.108%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 17:58
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 18:11
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:01
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:05
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -10.11%E -5.24%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -10.11%E -5.24%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -16.55%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -11.51%E -6.06%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -11.51%E -6.06%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -12.44%E -6.62%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-26 17:58
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -13.84%E -7.48%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.97%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.04%-0.1%2026-07-26 18:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-07-26 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-07-26 18:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-07-26 18:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-07-26 18:05

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