Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków v GKS Katowice

Início: 2026-07-26 18:15 UTC

Final: Wisła Kraków 2–1 GKS Katowice

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Previsão 46.57%2.15odd justa
EV -3.13%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.60%46.53%46.59%48.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.992.002.0854.05%50.31%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

GKS Katowice (Visitante)

Previsão 26.92%3.71odd justa
EV -0.400%
Vantagem -0.108%
Kelly -0.148%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.48%26.96%26.82%28.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.403.403.7032.26%29.45%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.51%3.77odd justa
EV -0.598%
Vantagem -0.159%
Kelly -0.217%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.24%26.51%26.58%27.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.443.453.7530.77%29.11%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wisła Kraków (Local): 46.57%; GKS Katowice (Visitante): 26.92%; Empate: 26.51%. Para GKS Katowice (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.71. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -0.400%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -3.13%E -1.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:00
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.04%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.87%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.06%E -1.97%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.598%E -0.159%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 18:01
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.52%E -2.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 18:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:59
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -4.99%E -2.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.60%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -0.400%E -0.108%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.41%EV -3.51%E -0.965%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:01
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 18:01
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 18:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 18:11
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.85%E -3.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:11
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -1.75%E -0.478%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -1.75%E -0.478%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:11
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -1.75%E -0.478%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:01
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -15.21%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -0.400%E -0.108%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 17:58
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 18:11
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 18:01
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 18:05
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -10.11%E -5.24%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -10.11%E -5.24%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -16.55%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -11.51%E -6.06%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -11.51%E -6.06%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.88%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -12.44%E -6.62%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-26 17:58
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -13.84%E -7.48%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 18:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.97%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.04%-0.1%2026-07-26 18:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-07-26 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-07-26 18:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-07-26 18:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-07-26 18:05