La escuela de los momios

Wisła Kraków v GKS Katowice

2026-07-26 18:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.60%42.14%41.95%43.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.48%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GKS Katowice (Visitante)

Predicción 30.37%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.397%
Kelly -0.573%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.56%30.39%30.42%31.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.003.003.2535.09%33.28%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.826%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.63%27.47%27.63%28.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.333.323.5331.75%30.02%30.12%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.11%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 01:10
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 07:35
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 08:35
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:45
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 09:00
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -1.29%E -0.397%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.25%EV -2.91%E -0.826%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 08:25
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.06%E -2.72%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 00:45
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 08:20
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 08:20
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -6.48%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 08:25
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -4.63%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.14%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 08:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 08:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 08:23
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 09:00
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:35
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:20
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-22 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-22 00:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 09:00
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.53%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -5.24%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.14%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 08:25
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.40%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 09:01
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.28%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 00:45
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -5.24%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 08:27
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:28
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 08:35
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 08:25
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 09:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-23 18:15
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:25
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.15%EV -9.85%E -4.60%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -13.44%E -4.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-22 00:45
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -13.64%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -12.53%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 08:30
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.64%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-26 08:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-26 09:01
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-07-26 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-07-26 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-07-26 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-07-26 09:20
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-07-26 07:30