Language:English
Widzew Łódź v Wieczysta Kraków
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prediction 48.57%2.06fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%48.61%48.60%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.901.9755.56%52.87%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wieczysta Kraków (Visit)
Prediction 26.28%3.80fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.86%26.21%26.17%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.7131.25%28.53%28.57%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.15%3.98fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.827%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.06%25.18%25.24%26.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.8529.41%27.62%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Widzew Łódź (Local): 48.57%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visit): 26.28%; Draw: 25.15%. For Wieczysta Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.71, with an expected value of -2.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.93%EV -2.49%E -0.671%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.25%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.18%E -0.827%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 13:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.66%E -5.19%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-17 00:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.50%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -12.57%E -6.99%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60% | 0.2% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 1.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.46% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.11% | 2.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |