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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Widzew Łódź v Wieczysta Kraków

Início: 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC

Final: Widzew Łódź 2–2 Wieczysta Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Previsão 48.57%2.06odd justa
EV -4.32%
Vantagem -2.19%
Kelly -4.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.07%48.61%48.60%50.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.891.901.9755.56%52.87%52.63%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 26.28%3.80odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -0.671%
Kelly -0.918%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.86%26.21%26.17%27.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.503.503.7131.25%28.53%28.57%26.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.15%3.98odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -0.827%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.06%25.18%25.24%26.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.623.603.8529.41%27.62%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Widzew Łódź (Local): 48.57%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante): 26.28%; Empate: 25.15%. Para Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.71, com valor esperado de -2.49%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.93%EV -2.49%E -0.671%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.25%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.18%E -0.827%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 15:19
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:15
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:34
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:14
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 15:15
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:33
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 15:15
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.66%E -5.19%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-17 00:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.50%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-18 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -12.57%E -6.99%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60%0.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.11%2.1%2026-09-18 15:30