L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Widzew Łódź v Wieczysta Kraków

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC

Score final : Widzew Łódź 2–2 Wieczysta Kraków

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prévision 48.57%2.06cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.07%48.61%48.60%50.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.901.9755.56%52.87%52.63%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.28%3.80cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -0.918%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.86%26.21%26.17%27.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.503.503.7131.25%28.53%28.57%26.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.15%3.98cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -0.827%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.06%25.18%25.24%26.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.623.603.8529.41%27.62%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Widzew Łódź (Local) : 48.57% ; Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur) : 26.28% ; Match nul : 25.15%. Pour Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.71, pour une espérance de -2.49% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.93%EV -2.49%E -0.671%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.25%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.32%E -2.19%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.18%E -0.827%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 15:19
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.29%E -2.71%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:15
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:34
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.26%E -3.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.75%E -3.51%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:14
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.23%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 15:15
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.70%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:33
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.72%E -4.06%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 15:15
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -4.44%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.69%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 15:15
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -9.17%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.49%EV -9.66%E -5.19%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.15%E -5.48%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.47%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-17 00:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -9.32%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.50%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.89%E -4.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-18 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.60%E -6.38%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.99%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -12.57%E -6.99%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -13.24%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-18 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60%0.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.11%2.1%2026-09-18 15:30