Language:English
Widzew Łódź v Radomiak Radom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prediction 52.74%1.90fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.66%52.74%52.72%54.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.74%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Radomiak Radom (Visit)
Prediction 22.54%4.44fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.321%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.89%22.55%22.49%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.104.5026.67%24.22%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.72%4.05fair odd
EV -0.628%
Edge -0.156%
Kelly -0.208%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.71%24.80%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.683.704.0228.99%27.18%27.03%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Widzew Łódź (Local): 52.74%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 22.54%; Draw: 24.72%. For Radomiak Radom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.88%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.39%E -0.551%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -8.24%E -4.73%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -2.61%E -0.605%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.06%E -0.713%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 12:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.32%EV -11.40%E -6.79%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-03 05:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.66%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%EV -4.64%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.76%EV -0.628%E -0.156%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 12:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 09:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 09:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 06:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.62%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.70%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.70%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.36%E -0.597%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 12:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 06:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.78%EV -12.98%E -7.87%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 12:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.88%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.78%EV -11.50%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -15.46%E -4.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |