Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Widzew Łódź v Radomiak Radom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 12:45 UTC

Score final : Widzew Łódź 0–0 Radomiak Radom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prévision 52.74%1.90cote équitable
EV -5.07%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -6.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.66%52.74%52.72%54.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.74%57.80%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Radomiak Radom (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.54%4.44cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.321%
Kelly +0.413%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.89%22.55%22.49%23.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.104.5026.67%24.22%24.39%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.72%4.05cote équitable
EV -0.628%
Avantage -0.156%
Kelly -0.208%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.55%24.71%24.80%26.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.683.704.0228.99%27.18%27.03%24.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Widzew Łódź (Local) : 52.74% ; Radomiak Radom (Visiteur) : 22.54% ; Match nul : 24.72%. Pour Radomiak Radom (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.44. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +1.44%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:35
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:35
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.44%E +0.321%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.88%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.39%E -0.551%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 12:54
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -8.24%E -4.73%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -2.61%E -0.605%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.06%E -0.713%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 06:20
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.32%EV -11.40%E -6.79%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -4.19%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 05:09
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.66%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%EV -4.64%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.76%EV -0.628%E -0.156%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:05
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 12:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 05:05
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 06:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 06:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.32%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.72%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:49
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 09:20
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 09:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 06:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.62%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 12:50
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.70%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:58
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.70%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.83%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.36%E -0.597%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.13%E -3.44%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.59%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 12:49
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 09:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 12:49
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 09:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -9.29%E -5.40%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.83%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 06:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.23%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 06:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.78%EV -12.98%E -7.87%K -19.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -12.08%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-04 12:49
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.71%E -4.41%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.76%E -5.07%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.88%EV -9.82%E -5.74%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.78%EV -11.50%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 07:10
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.35%E -6.09%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -14.34%E -3.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 12:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -11.93%E -7.14%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -15.46%E -4.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 21:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%3.3%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%5.1%2026-09-04 14:00